Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.002393 0.002533 0.002682 0.002853 0.003046 0.003259 0.003514
2025-04-27 0.002186 0.002376 0.002590 0.002853 0.003170 0.003548 0.004045
2025-05-04 0.002081 0.002311 0.002580 0.002928 0.003375 0.003952 0.004788
2025-05-11 0.001967 0.002217 0.002520 0.002926 0.003475 0.004229 0.005428
2025-05-18 0.001915 0.002190 0.002534 0.003013 0.003696 0.004705 0.006500
2025-05-25 0.001830 0.002114 0.002475 0.002992 0.003758 0.004954 0.007286
2025-06-01 0.001745 0.002029 0.002398 0.002935 0.003755 0.005094 0.007921
2025-06-08 0.001712 0.002011 0.002406 0.002999 0.003942 0.005591 0.009568
2025-06-15 0.001677 0.001985 0.002400 0.003039 0.004096 0.006066 0.011535
2025-06-22 0.001618 0.001926 0.002343 0.002995 0.004100 0.006248 0.012845
2025-06-29 0.001562 0.001866 0.002282 0.002941 0.004079 0.006370 0.014101
2025-07-06 0.001516 0.001817 0.002234 0.002901 0.004078 0.006540 0.015784
2025-07-13 0.001433 0.001718 0.002112 0.002741 0.003851 0.006166 0.014811
2025-07-20 0.001400 0.001687 0.002088 0.002739 0.003919 0.006513 0.017973
2025-07-27 0.001389 0.001686 0.002106 0.002808 0.004132 0.007303 0.026865
2025-08-03 0.001360 0.001658 0.002084 0.002806 0.004205 0.007752 0.037132
2025-08-10 0.001353 0.001661 0.002109 0.002886 0.004462 0.008892 0.095902
2025-08-17 0.001324 0.001630 0.002079 0.002866 0.004499 0.009340 0.267712
2025-08-24 0.001288 0.001589 0.002032 0.002814 0.004454 0.009470 2.020139
2025-08-31 0.001279 0.001587 0.002046 0.002873 0.004678 0.010821 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001266 0.001578 0.002048 0.002910 0.004857 0.012192 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001238 0.001546 0.002011 0.002869 0.004834 0.012540 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001210 0.001512 0.001970 0.002819 0.004781 0.012694 NaN